Interesting piece. It makes sense that economic optimism, the belief that the future is brighter for us and our children should make us more fecund. We are more likely to invest in the future. Conversely, in a flat or stagnating economy, we are less likely to bother. More effort goes into squeezing out resources for our own advantage, thinking of a future beyond our horizon is too much effort.
If you count the kids Hungarians etc have when they are abroad where they do not become citizens a lot of the times, relying on EU 'citizenship' and settled status up to decades, then the fertility rates of eastern Europeans is far higher than anything produced by westerners anywhere, at home or abroad.
When you discount the non native western 'Europeans', from western national fertility rates, which almost no wester state does after the 'first generation', then their fertility rate is far worse than any official 'demographic' magic with numbers.
Western Europe and for that matter the America etc that used to be only 60 years ago is dead, it just doesn't know it yet. Unless massive repatriation is forced. If Europe survives in some form it will be in eastern Europe. Recent imported invaders notwithstanding.
Interesting piece. It makes sense that economic optimism, the belief that the future is brighter for us and our children should make us more fecund. We are more likely to invest in the future. Conversely, in a flat or stagnating economy, we are less likely to bother. More effort goes into squeezing out resources for our own advantage, thinking of a future beyond our horizon is too much effort.
If you count the kids Hungarians etc have when they are abroad where they do not become citizens a lot of the times, relying on EU 'citizenship' and settled status up to decades, then the fertility rates of eastern Europeans is far higher than anything produced by westerners anywhere, at home or abroad.
When you discount the non native western 'Europeans', from western national fertility rates, which almost no wester state does after the 'first generation', then their fertility rate is far worse than any official 'demographic' magic with numbers.
Western Europe and for that matter the America etc that used to be only 60 years ago is dead, it just doesn't know it yet. Unless massive repatriation is forced. If Europe survives in some form it will be in eastern Europe. Recent imported invaders notwithstanding.
Of the world’s demographic crisis